Wednesday, January 19, 2005


Satisfaction? Not Guaranteed

And neither is a final four berth. All the "experts" seem to think that two ACC teams will get into the final four along with a combo of OK state,Illinois and Kansas. Those are the majority of picks. Of course some people stick SU in some prognastications or maybe even a sleeper!! like Duke(ugh). There was a great article done by John Feinstein, who authored a book on an entire ACC season entitled A March to Madness.(sidenote-that book is a great read. I dont like the ACC but it gives you in depth on the hated rivalries in the ACC and how intense each game is. It was also written in Dean Smith's last year at Carolina. Its 9 years old now, but i think its definetely worth it). Here's the article about how nothing in the NCAA tournament is guaranteed and this from an ACC guy. So I decided to look at the last 10 years of the NCAA tournament and see how many years a Final Four has featured 4 teams ranked in the top eight going into the tournament. The answer? None. Not one time has a final four featured a combo of just one seeds and 2 seeds. That is remarkable. So all these people that think its going to be only teams ranked in the top 5 in the Final Four are wrong. The numbers dont lie. Expect at least one 3 seed or lower in the Final Four. In 2000 two number EIGHTS were in the Final Four. So if you think the top teams in the country will all be playing for the title in April well just think again and dont be afraid to add in a sleeper. My sleeper pick for the Final Four(team ranked out of the top ten) is Louisville. Just a hunch.
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